| Peer-Reviewed

Evaluation of Short and Long Run Impacts of Cotton Price on Rural Poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire

Received: 28 July 2019    Accepted: 30 August 2019    Published: 17 September 2019
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

This paper measures, at the farm level, the short and long-term impacts of the fall in world cotton prices on agricultural incomes and the rural poverty level of cotton producers in Côte d'Ivoire. World cotton prices fell by 40% over the period from 2010 to 2018, this was felt by cotton producers. The objective of the paper is to show the relative importance of cotton for cotton producers and to draw the attention of public decision-makers to put in place public policies in the agricultural sector to support the development of the cotton sector. This paper combines farm survey data from Côte d’Ivoire with assumptions about the decline in farm-level prices to estimate the direct and indirect effects of cotton price reductions on rural income and poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. We used the monetary approach and the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke method to measure poverty. The results indicate that there is a strong link between cotton prices and rural welfare of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. A 36.11% reduction in farm-level prices of cotton results in an increase in rural poverty of 30.43% points in the short run and 26-30% points in the long run according to elasticities. A 36.11% reduction in farm-level prices of cotton results in an increase in producer’s income of 69% points in the short run and 50-69% points in the long run according to elasticities. Overall, the study demonstrates the impact of changes in world cotton prices on rural poverty in Côte d’Ivoire, thus highlighting the likely negative effects of cotton subsidies on Côte d’Ivoire farmers.

Published in International Journal of Agricultural Economics (Volume 4, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15
Page(s) 225-232
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Cotton, Price Impact, Poverty Index

References
[1] Berté, K. and F. M. Epplin, Evaluation of the influence of agricultural price policy on cotton production in Côte-d'Ivoire. Agricultural Economics, 1989. 3 (1); p. 69-76.
[2] Zagbai, H. S., F. Berti, and P. Lebailly, Impact de la dynamique cotonnière sur le développement rural. Étude de cas de la région de Korhogo, au Nord et au Centre de la Côte dʼIvoire. Biotechnologie, Agronomie, Société et Environnement, 2006. 10 (4); p. 325–334.
[3] Berti, F., et al., Le coton dans le monde, place du coton africain et principaux enjeux. Biotechnologie, Agronomie, Société et Environnement, 2006. 10 (4); p. 271-280.
[4] Perrin, S. and D. Lagandre, Le coton africain face à la concurrence du marché mondial. 2005, AFD: 75012 Paris - France. p. 33.
[5] CSAO/OCDE, Le coton en Afrique de l'Ouest un enjeu économique et social, ed. OCDE. 2006, Paris. 131.
[6] Burfisher, M. E., S. Robinson, and K. Thierfelder, North American Farm Programs and the WTO. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2000. 82 (3); p. 768-774.
[7] Estur, G., Le marché mondial du coton; évolution et perspectives. Cahiers Agricultures, 2006. 15, n 1 (1); p. 8.
[8] Bale, M. D. and E. Lutz, Price Distortions in Agriculture and Their Effects: An International Comparison. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1981. 63 (1); p. 8-22.
[9] Gillson, I., et al., Understanding the impact of Cotton Subsidies on developing countries. 2004 World Bank: Washington DC. p. 74.
[10] Minot, N. and L. Daniels, Impact of global cotton markets on rural poverty in Benin. Agricultural Economics, 2005. 33 (s3); p. 453-466.
[11] Ravallion, M. and D. Van De Walle, The impact on poverty of food pricing reforms: A welfare analysis for Indonesia. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1991. 13 (2); p. 281-299.
[12] Winters, L. A., N. Mcculloch, and A. Mckay, Trade Liberalization and Poverty; The Evidence so Far. Journal of Economic Literature, 2004. 42 (1); p. 72-115.
[13] SENAT, La mesure de la pauvreté et de l'exclusion sociale; quels indicateurs?, in Etudes Economiques. 2007, Senat: Paris. p. 67.
[14] Foster, J., J. Greer, and E. Thorbecke, A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures. Econometrica, 1984. 52 (3); p. 761-766.
[15] Grimm, M., C. Guenard, and S. Mesple-Somps, Evolution de la pauvreté urbaine en Côte d'Ivoire; Une analyse sur 15 ans d'enquêtes ménages. 2001, DIAL – UR CIPRE de l’IRD. p. 41.
[16] PNUD, Mesure de la pauvreté selon la méthode de degré de satisfaction des besoins essentiels; expérience du Niger. 2007, PNUD: Niger. p. 214.
[17] Ministère du plan et du développement, Stratégie de relance du développement et de réduction de la pauvreté (DSRP). 2009: Côte d'Ivoire. p. 198.
[18] Orden, D., et al., The Impact of Global Cotton Markets on Rural Poverty in Pakistan, in American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting. 2006: California. p. 25.
[19] Nubukpo, K. K., Le piège du coton; le Mali à la croisée des chemins. Oléagineux, Corps Gras, Lipides, 2006. 13 (4); p. 278-84.
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. (2019). Evaluation of Short and Long Run Impacts of Cotton Price on Rural Poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. International Journal of Agricultural Economics, 4(5), 225-232. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Kone Siaka; Noufou Coulibaly; Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. Evaluation of Short and Long Run Impacts of Cotton Price on Rural Poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. Int. J. Agric. Econ. 2019, 4(5), 225-232. doi: 10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. Evaluation of Short and Long Run Impacts of Cotton Price on Rural Poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. Int J Agric Econ. 2019;4(5):225-232. doi: 10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15,
      author = {Kone Siaka and Noufou Coulibaly and Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior},
      title = {Evaluation of Short and Long Run Impacts of Cotton Price on Rural Poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire},
      journal = {International Journal of Agricultural Economics},
      volume = {4},
      number = {5},
      pages = {225-232},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijae.20190405.15},
      abstract = {This paper measures, at the farm level, the short and long-term impacts of the fall in world cotton prices on agricultural incomes and the rural poverty level of cotton producers in Côte d'Ivoire. World cotton prices fell by 40% over the period from 2010 to 2018, this was felt by cotton producers. The objective of the paper is to show the relative importance of cotton for cotton producers and to draw the attention of public decision-makers to put in place public policies in the agricultural sector to support the development of the cotton sector. This paper combines farm survey data from Côte d’Ivoire with assumptions about the decline in farm-level prices to estimate the direct and indirect effects of cotton price reductions on rural income and poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. We used the monetary approach and the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke method to measure poverty. The results indicate that there is a strong link between cotton prices and rural welfare of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. A 36.11% reduction in farm-level prices of cotton results in an increase in rural poverty of 30.43% points in the short run and 26-30% points in the long run according to elasticities. A 36.11% reduction in farm-level prices of cotton results in an increase in producer’s income of 69% points in the short run and 50-69% points in the long run according to elasticities. Overall, the study demonstrates the impact of changes in world cotton prices on rural poverty in Côte d’Ivoire, thus highlighting the likely negative effects of cotton subsidies on Côte d’Ivoire farmers.},
     year = {2019}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Evaluation of Short and Long Run Impacts of Cotton Price on Rural Poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire
    AU  - Kone Siaka
    AU  - Noufou Coulibaly
    AU  - Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior
    Y1  - 2019/09/17
    PY  - 2019
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15
    T2  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    JF  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    JO  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    SP  - 225
    EP  - 232
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2575-3843
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20190405.15
    AB  - This paper measures, at the farm level, the short and long-term impacts of the fall in world cotton prices on agricultural incomes and the rural poverty level of cotton producers in Côte d'Ivoire. World cotton prices fell by 40% over the period from 2010 to 2018, this was felt by cotton producers. The objective of the paper is to show the relative importance of cotton for cotton producers and to draw the attention of public decision-makers to put in place public policies in the agricultural sector to support the development of the cotton sector. This paper combines farm survey data from Côte d’Ivoire with assumptions about the decline in farm-level prices to estimate the direct and indirect effects of cotton price reductions on rural income and poverty of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. We used the monetary approach and the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke method to measure poverty. The results indicate that there is a strong link between cotton prices and rural welfare of Lialibé and Kossou Producers in Cote d’Ivoire. A 36.11% reduction in farm-level prices of cotton results in an increase in rural poverty of 30.43% points in the short run and 26-30% points in the long run according to elasticities. A 36.11% reduction in farm-level prices of cotton results in an increase in producer’s income of 69% points in the short run and 50-69% points in the long run according to elasticities. Overall, the study demonstrates the impact of changes in world cotton prices on rural poverty in Côte d’Ivoire, thus highlighting the likely negative effects of cotton subsidies on Côte d’Ivoire farmers.
    VL  - 4
    IS  - 5
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Management and Applied Economics Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire

  • Management and Applied Economics Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire

  • Management and Applied Economics Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire

  • Sections