This study examined the behaviour of government spending and economic growth in six ECOWAS countries using ARDL and UVAR-based modified granger non-causality approach. Secondary data covering1981-2013 were sourced on key variables from (WDIs) 2014 edition. The result of Johansen and ARDL bound test suggests a long run equilibrium relationship between government spending and economic growth in all the six countries. The result of the modified ARDL indicates that variables adjust to a long run equilibrium path after a short run deviation. The ECM coefficient is negatively signed and significant at 5 and even at 1 percent in line with a priori expectation. This provides strong support for the long run equilibrium relationship. However, the speed of adjustment to long run equilibrium path varies across the six countries. The causality test result suggests that bidirectional causality exists for Gambia, Cote d’Ivoire, Senegal and Burkina Faso while unidirectional causality running from economic growth to government spending was found for Nigeria and Ghana. There is no support for the feedback hypothesis. Policy makers in this region are enjoined to caution on the call for fiscal consolidation but rather consider the fiscal space alternative to advance the developing economies in this sub-region. The study therefore concluded that there is a cause-effect relationship between government spending among other variables and economic growth in the developing ECOWAS countries.
| Published in | International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences (Volume 5, Issue 1) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14 |
| Page(s) | 34-56 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2017. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Government Spending, Economic Growth, ARDL Bound Test, Toda and Yamamoto Modified Granger Non-causality, Error Correction Models, ECOWAS Countries
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APA Style
Matthew Abiodun Dada. (2017). Modelling the Behaviour of Government Spending and Economic Growth in Six ECOWAS Countries (1981-2013). International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 5(1), 34-56. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14
ACS Style
Matthew Abiodun Dada. Modelling the Behaviour of Government Spending and Economic Growth in Six ECOWAS Countries (1981-2013). Int. J. Econ. Finance Manag. Sci. 2017, 5(1), 34-56. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14
AMA Style
Matthew Abiodun Dada. Modelling the Behaviour of Government Spending and Economic Growth in Six ECOWAS Countries (1981-2013). Int J Econ Finance Manag Sci. 2017;5(1):34-56. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14
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Download@article{10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14,
author = {Matthew Abiodun Dada},
title = {Modelling the Behaviour of Government Spending and Economic Growth in Six ECOWAS Countries (1981-2013)},
journal = {International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {34-56},
doi = {10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijefm.20170501.14},
abstract = {This study examined the behaviour of government spending and economic growth in six ECOWAS countries using ARDL and UVAR-based modified granger non-causality approach. Secondary data covering1981-2013 were sourced on key variables from (WDIs) 2014 edition. The result of Johansen and ARDL bound test suggests a long run equilibrium relationship between government spending and economic growth in all the six countries. The result of the modified ARDL indicates that variables adjust to a long run equilibrium path after a short run deviation. The ECM coefficient is negatively signed and significant at 5 and even at 1 percent in line with a priori expectation. This provides strong support for the long run equilibrium relationship. However, the speed of adjustment to long run equilibrium path varies across the six countries. The causality test result suggests that bidirectional causality exists for Gambia, Cote d’Ivoire, Senegal and Burkina Faso while unidirectional causality running from economic growth to government spending was found for Nigeria and Ghana. There is no support for the feedback hypothesis. Policy makers in this region are enjoined to caution on the call for fiscal consolidation but rather consider the fiscal space alternative to advance the developing economies in this sub-region. The study therefore concluded that there is a cause-effect relationship between government spending among other variables and economic growth in the developing ECOWAS countries.},
year = {2017}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Modelling the Behaviour of Government Spending and Economic Growth in Six ECOWAS Countries (1981-2013) AU - Matthew Abiodun Dada Y1 - 2017/01/04 PY - 2017 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14 DO - 10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14 T2 - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences JF - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences JO - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences SP - 34 EP - 56 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2326-9561 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20170501.14 AB - This study examined the behaviour of government spending and economic growth in six ECOWAS countries using ARDL and UVAR-based modified granger non-causality approach. Secondary data covering1981-2013 were sourced on key variables from (WDIs) 2014 edition. The result of Johansen and ARDL bound test suggests a long run equilibrium relationship between government spending and economic growth in all the six countries. The result of the modified ARDL indicates that variables adjust to a long run equilibrium path after a short run deviation. The ECM coefficient is negatively signed and significant at 5 and even at 1 percent in line with a priori expectation. This provides strong support for the long run equilibrium relationship. However, the speed of adjustment to long run equilibrium path varies across the six countries. The causality test result suggests that bidirectional causality exists for Gambia, Cote d’Ivoire, Senegal and Burkina Faso while unidirectional causality running from economic growth to government spending was found for Nigeria and Ghana. There is no support for the feedback hypothesis. Policy makers in this region are enjoined to caution on the call for fiscal consolidation but rather consider the fiscal space alternative to advance the developing economies in this sub-region. The study therefore concluded that there is a cause-effect relationship between government spending among other variables and economic growth in the developing ECOWAS countries. VL - 5 IS - 1 ER -
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