Research Article | | Peer-Reviewed

Diversification Effect of Gold as an Asset Class in Foreign Exchange Reserve Portfolio, Evidence from Sri Lanka

Received: 14 August 2024     Accepted: 5 September 2024     Published: 20 September 2024
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

Foreign Exchange Reserves of the countries play a major role in managing exchange rate and monetary policy, particularly in emerging countries as Sri Lanka. Therefore, it is important to manage foreign exchange reserves in an open and transparent manner with clear objectives of what is going to be achieved. For a country like Sri Lanka the main objective would be the safety of the assets since it is difficult to absorb substantial risks in managing foreign exchange reserves due to relative lower size compared to its exposure to external sector of the economy. When it comes to gold as an assets class is considered to safe-haven assets due to its nature of higher return in times of crisis and inflationary periods. The objective of this study is to explore the diversification impact of gold on foreign exchange reserves in Sri Lanka for the period from 2007 to 2023. To explore the impact of diversification, correlation between gold and existing foreign exchange reserves and additional excess return per unit of risk provide with the inclusion of gold into the portfolio were used to analyze the possible diversification impact. The results showed that there is an increase in excess return with the addition of 1% to 5% of gold as a percentage of total foreign exchange reserves, while correlation of gold with existing portfolio was less than 0.5 indicating diversification impact. Further, the Sharpe ratio was also seen increasing when the gold composition in foreign exchange reserve portfolio was increased. It was found that gold can be considered as an asset class which help diversification for foreign exchange reserves of Sri Lanka, even though the same are managed in very conservatively.

Published in International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences (Volume 12, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14
Page(s) 267-275
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Foreign Exchange Reserves, Diversification, Correlation, Sharpe Ratio

References
[1] Arouri M. H, Lahiani, D. K. Nguyen World gold prices and stock returns in China: insights for hedging and diversification strategies Econ. Model., 44(2015), pp. 273-282.
[2] Baur, D. G., Lucey, B. M. Is gold a hedge or a safe haven? An analysis of stocks, bonds, and gold. The Financial Review, 45. (2010), 217–229.
[3] Capie, F., Mills, T. C., & Wood, G. Gold as a hedge against the dollar. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 15(4). (2015), 343-352.
[4] Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Annual Reports 2016, Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Colombo, 2017.
[5] Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Annual Reports 2020, Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Colombo, 2021.
[6] Chkili, W Dynamic correlations and hedging effectiveness between gold and stock markets: Evidence for BRICS countries, Research in International Business and Finance, Volume 38. 2016.
[7] Chua, J. H., Sick, G., & Woodward, R. S. (1990). Diversifying with gold stocks. Financial Analysts Journal, 46(4). (1990), 76–79.
[8] Conover, C. M., Jensen, G. R., Johnson, R. R., & Mercer, J. M. Is now the time to add commodities to your portfolio? The journal of Investing, 19(3). (2010), 10-19.
[9] Dempster, N., & Artigas, J. C. Gold: Inflation hedge and long-term strategic asset. The Journal of Wealth Management, 13. (2010), 69-75.
[10] Emmrich, O and F J McGroarty “Should gold be included in institutional investor portfolios?”, Applied Financial Economics, 23: 19. (2013), pp 1553-1565.
[11] Fernando, N. Shalinda. “The Role of Gold in an Investment Portfolio: An empirical study on diversification benefits of gold from the perspective of Swedish investors.” (2017).
[12] Fleming, M How Has Treasury Market Liquidity Evolved in 2023, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2023,
[13] Herbst, A F “Gold versus U.S. common stocks: some evidence on inflation hedge performance and cyclical behavior”, Financial Analysts Journal, vol 39(1). (1983), pp 66-74.
[14] Hillier, D., Draper, P., & Faff, R. Do precious metals shine? An investment perspective. Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 62, no. 2. (2006), 98-106.
[15] Hoang, T, et al; Is gold good for portfolio diversification? A stochastic dominance analysis of the Paris stock exchange, International Review of Financial Analysis. (2015).
[16] Jaffe, J. F. Gold and gold stocks as investments for institutional portfolios. Financial Analysts Journal, 49(2). (1989), 53–59.
[17] Nugee, J “Foreign Exchange Reserves Management”, Bank of England. (2000).
[18] Nusantara, Agung & Nawatmi, Sri & Santosa, Agus & Sudiyatno, Bambang The Role of Gold as Haven or Diversifier Investment in Indonesia.
[19] Pullen, T., Bensen, K., & Faff, R. A comparative analysis of the investment characteristics of alternative gold assets. Abacus, 50. (2014), 76–92.
[20] Sherman, E. J. (1982, Spring). Gold: A conservative, prudent diversifier. The Journal of Portfolio Management, (1982) 21–27.
[21] State Street, Invest in Gold A portfolio Diversifier with Staying power, white paper State Street (2024).
[22] World Gold Council, Gold as a strategic asset: 2024 edition. (2024),
[23] Zulaica, O What share for gold? On the interaction of gold and foreign exchange reserve returns, BIS working paper, (2020).
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Harshapriya, R. (2024). Diversification Effect of Gold as an Asset Class in Foreign Exchange Reserve Portfolio, Evidence from Sri Lanka. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 12(5), 267-275. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Harshapriya, R. Diversification Effect of Gold as an Asset Class in Foreign Exchange Reserve Portfolio, Evidence from Sri Lanka. Int. J. Econ. Finance Manag. Sci. 2024, 12(5), 267-275. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Harshapriya R. Diversification Effect of Gold as an Asset Class in Foreign Exchange Reserve Portfolio, Evidence from Sri Lanka. Int J Econ Finance Manag Sci. 2024;12(5):267-275. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14,
      author = {Roshan Harshapriya},
      title = {Diversification Effect of Gold as an Asset Class in Foreign Exchange Reserve Portfolio, Evidence from Sri Lanka
    },
      journal = {International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences},
      volume = {12},
      number = {5},
      pages = {267-275},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijefm.20241205.14},
      abstract = {Foreign Exchange Reserves of the countries play a major role in managing exchange rate and monetary policy, particularly in emerging countries as Sri Lanka. Therefore, it is important to manage foreign exchange reserves in an open and transparent manner with clear objectives of what is going to be achieved. For a country like Sri Lanka the main objective would be the safety of the assets since it is difficult to absorb substantial risks in managing foreign exchange reserves due to relative lower size compared to its exposure to external sector of the economy. When it comes to gold as an assets class is considered to safe-haven assets due to its nature of higher return in times of crisis and inflationary periods. The objective of this study is to explore the diversification impact of gold on foreign exchange reserves in Sri Lanka for the period from 2007 to 2023. To explore the impact of diversification, correlation between gold and existing foreign exchange reserves and additional excess return per unit of risk provide with the inclusion of gold into the portfolio were used to analyze the possible diversification impact. The results showed that there is an increase in excess return with the addition of 1% to 5% of gold as a percentage of total foreign exchange reserves, while correlation of gold with existing portfolio was less than 0.5 indicating diversification impact. Further, the Sharpe ratio was also seen increasing when the gold composition in foreign exchange reserve portfolio was increased. It was found that gold can be considered as an asset class which help diversification for foreign exchange reserves of Sri Lanka, even though the same are managed in very conservatively.
    },
     year = {2024}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Diversification Effect of Gold as an Asset Class in Foreign Exchange Reserve Portfolio, Evidence from Sri Lanka
    
    AU  - Roshan Harshapriya
    Y1  - 2024/09/20
    PY  - 2024
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14
    T2  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    JF  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    JO  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    SP  - 267
    EP  - 275
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2326-9561
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20241205.14
    AB  - Foreign Exchange Reserves of the countries play a major role in managing exchange rate and monetary policy, particularly in emerging countries as Sri Lanka. Therefore, it is important to manage foreign exchange reserves in an open and transparent manner with clear objectives of what is going to be achieved. For a country like Sri Lanka the main objective would be the safety of the assets since it is difficult to absorb substantial risks in managing foreign exchange reserves due to relative lower size compared to its exposure to external sector of the economy. When it comes to gold as an assets class is considered to safe-haven assets due to its nature of higher return in times of crisis and inflationary periods. The objective of this study is to explore the diversification impact of gold on foreign exchange reserves in Sri Lanka for the period from 2007 to 2023. To explore the impact of diversification, correlation between gold and existing foreign exchange reserves and additional excess return per unit of risk provide with the inclusion of gold into the portfolio were used to analyze the possible diversification impact. The results showed that there is an increase in excess return with the addition of 1% to 5% of gold as a percentage of total foreign exchange reserves, while correlation of gold with existing portfolio was less than 0.5 indicating diversification impact. Further, the Sharpe ratio was also seen increasing when the gold composition in foreign exchange reserve portfolio was increased. It was found that gold can be considered as an asset class which help diversification for foreign exchange reserves of Sri Lanka, even though the same are managed in very conservatively.
    
    VL  - 12
    IS  - 5
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Sections