Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015

Ju Hui; Zhang Di; Zhang Xinyue; William Batchelor; Lin Erda

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015

Ju Hui, Zhang Di, Zhang Xinyue, William Batchelor, Lin Erda

Published in International Journal of Sustainable Development Research (Volume 8, Issue 2)

Received: 12 April 2022 Accepted: 31 May 2022 Published: 16 June 2022

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Abstract

The North China Plain (NCP) is a cereal production base in China. However, the understanding of how climate extremes affect cereal production during past decades in the region is limited. Based on the statistical data of climate disasters and cultivated areas during 1950-2015, the relationship between regional cereal production and four meteorological disasters was examined. The results showed that during 1950-1980, the cultivated area for cereal production increased, accounting for 80-85% of the total cultivated area, but gradually decreased in the second 30 years after 1980. Flood disaster was the greatest in intensity compared with the other three meteorological disasters; drought was the most widespread and impactful. The effects of the four disasters became more noteworthy after 1980, and the spatiotemporal trend in the NCP was similar. Flood and drought had significant effects (P < 0.01) on cereal yield with path coefficients of -0.355 and -0.344, respectively. The harvest areas declined slowly and the yield increased slightly during the 7 disaster window years, suggesting that technology advancement offset the decline in cultivated areas and increased the yield. The effect of climate extremes on cereal production could be addressed through technology improvement and the implementation of preventive measures in the NCP.

Published in	International Journal of Sustainable Development Research (Volume 8, Issue 2)
DOI	10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
Page(s)	66-75
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Cereal Production, Drought, Flood, Effects, Decades, China

References

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APA Style

Ju Hui, Zhang Di, Zhang Xinyue, William Batchelor, Lin Erda. (2022). Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015. International Journal of Sustainable Development Research, 8(2), 66-75. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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ACS Style

Ju Hui; Zhang Di; Zhang Xinyue; William Batchelor; Lin Erda. Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. Res. 2022, 8(2), 66-75. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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AMA Style

Ju Hui, Zhang Di, Zhang Xinyue, William Batchelor, Lin Erda. Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015. Int J Sustain Dev Res. 2022;8(2):66-75. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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@article{10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15,
  author = {Ju Hui and Zhang Di and Zhang Xinyue and William Batchelor and Lin Erda},
  title = {Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015},
  journal = {International Journal of Sustainable Development Research},
  volume = {8},
  number = {2},
  pages = {66-75},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijsdr.20220802.15},
  abstract = {The North China Plain (NCP) is a cereal production base in China. However, the understanding of how climate extremes affect cereal production during past decades in the region is limited. Based on the statistical data of climate disasters and cultivated areas during 1950-2015, the relationship between regional cereal production and four meteorological disasters was examined. The results showed that during 1950-1980, the cultivated area for cereal production increased, accounting for 80-85% of the total cultivated area, but gradually decreased in the second 30 years after 1980. Flood disaster was the greatest in intensity compared with the other three meteorological disasters; drought was the most widespread and impactful. The effects of the four disasters became more noteworthy after 1980, and the spatiotemporal trend in the NCP was similar. Flood and drought had significant effects (P < 0.01) on cereal yield with path coefficients of -0.355 and -0.344, respectively. The harvest areas declined slowly and the yield increased slightly during the 7 disaster window years, suggesting that technology advancement offset the decline in cultivated areas and increased the yield. The effect of climate extremes on cereal production could be addressed through technology improvement and the implementation of preventive measures in the NCP.},
 year = {2022}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015
AU  - Ju Hui
AU  - Zhang Di
AU  - Zhang Xinyue
AU  - William Batchelor
AU  - Lin Erda
Y1  - 2022/06/16
PY  - 2022
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
T2  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JF  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JO  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
SP  - 66
EP  - 75
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2575-1832
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
AB  - The North China Plain (NCP) is a cereal production base in China. However, the understanding of how climate extremes affect cereal production during past decades in the region is limited. Based on the statistical data of climate disasters and cultivated areas during 1950-2015, the relationship between regional cereal production and four meteorological disasters was examined. The results showed that during 1950-1980, the cultivated area for cereal production increased, accounting for 80-85% of the total cultivated area, but gradually decreased in the second 30 years after 1980. Flood disaster was the greatest in intensity compared with the other three meteorological disasters; drought was the most widespread and impactful. The effects of the four disasters became more noteworthy after 1980, and the spatiotemporal trend in the NCP was similar. Flood and drought had significant effects (P < 0.01) on cereal yield with path coefficients of -0.355 and -0.344, respectively. The harvest areas declined slowly and the yield increased slightly during the 7 disaster window years, suggesting that technology advancement offset the decline in cultivated areas and increased the yield. The effect of climate extremes on cereal production could be addressed through technology improvement and the implementation of preventive measures in the NCP.
VL  - 8
IS  - 2
ER  -

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Author Information

Ju Hui

Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, P. R. China
Zhang Di

Department of Biotechnology, Yangling Vocational and Technical College, Shaanxi, P. R. China
Zhang Xinyue

Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, P. R. China
William Batchelor

Biosystems Engineering Department, Auburn University, Alabama, USA
Lin Erda

Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, P. R. China

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Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Ju Hui, Zhang Di, Zhang Xinyue, William Batchelor, Lin Erda. (2022). Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015. International Journal of Sustainable Development Research, 8(2), 66-75. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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ACS Style

Ju Hui; Zhang Di; Zhang Xinyue; William Batchelor; Lin Erda. Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. Res. 2022, 8(2), 66-75. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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AMA Style

Ju Hui, Zhang Di, Zhang Xinyue, William Batchelor, Lin Erda. Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015. Int J Sustain Dev Res. 2022;8(2):66-75. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15

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@article{10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15,
  author = {Ju Hui and Zhang Di and Zhang Xinyue and William Batchelor and Lin Erda},
  title = {Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015},
  journal = {International Journal of Sustainable Development Research},
  volume = {8},
  number = {2},
  pages = {66-75},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijsdr.20220802.15},
  abstract = {The North China Plain (NCP) is a cereal production base in China. However, the understanding of how climate extremes affect cereal production during past decades in the region is limited. Based on the statistical data of climate disasters and cultivated areas during 1950-2015, the relationship between regional cereal production and four meteorological disasters was examined. The results showed that during 1950-1980, the cultivated area for cereal production increased, accounting for 80-85% of the total cultivated area, but gradually decreased in the second 30 years after 1980. Flood disaster was the greatest in intensity compared with the other three meteorological disasters; drought was the most widespread and impactful. The effects of the four disasters became more noteworthy after 1980, and the spatiotemporal trend in the NCP was similar. Flood and drought had significant effects (P < 0.01) on cereal yield with path coefficients of -0.355 and -0.344, respectively. The harvest areas declined slowly and the yield increased slightly during the 7 disaster window years, suggesting that technology advancement offset the decline in cultivated areas and increased the yield. The effect of climate extremes on cereal production could be addressed through technology improvement and the implementation of preventive measures in the NCP.},
 year = {2022}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Effects of Climate Extremes on Cereal Production in the North China Plain During 1950–2015
AU  - Ju Hui
AU  - Zhang Di
AU  - Zhang Xinyue
AU  - William Batchelor
AU  - Lin Erda
Y1  - 2022/06/16
PY  - 2022
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
T2  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JF  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JO  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
SP  - 66
EP  - 75
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2575-1832
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20220802.15
AB  - The North China Plain (NCP) is a cereal production base in China. However, the understanding of how climate extremes affect cereal production during past decades in the region is limited. Based on the statistical data of climate disasters and cultivated areas during 1950-2015, the relationship between regional cereal production and four meteorological disasters was examined. The results showed that during 1950-1980, the cultivated area for cereal production increased, accounting for 80-85% of the total cultivated area, but gradually decreased in the second 30 years after 1980. Flood disaster was the greatest in intensity compared with the other three meteorological disasters; drought was the most widespread and impactful. The effects of the four disasters became more noteworthy after 1980, and the spatiotemporal trend in the NCP was similar. Flood and drought had significant effects (P < 0.01) on cereal yield with path coefficients of -0.355 and -0.344, respectively. The harvest areas declined slowly and the yield increased slightly during the 7 disaster window years, suggesting that technology advancement offset the decline in cultivated areas and increased the yield. The effect of climate extremes on cereal production could be addressed through technology improvement and the implementation of preventive measures in the NCP.
VL  - 8
IS  - 2
ER  -

Copy | Download