Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia

Haile Mekonnen Fenta; Demeke Lakew Workie

doi:doi:10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia

Haile Mekonnen Fenta, Demeke Lakew Workie

Published in Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Volume 2, Issue 5)

Received: 8 August 2014 Accepted: 26 August 2014 Published: 30 September 2014

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Abstract

Traffic accident is increased from time to time in alarming rate and it is a serious problem throughout the globe, particularly, in developing countries like Ethiopia. In this study our aim was to identify the major factors that affect the occurrence of traffic accidents at Bahir Dar city, North Western Ethiopia. The drivers were selected using simple random sampling methods and descriptive statistics, Chi-square and Binary logistic regression methods have been used for data analysis.The Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed that the model fits the data very well. And from the result we have seen that drivers giving priority stated by the law, pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road, drivers usage of seat belt have statistically significant impact for the occurrence of traffic accidents in the city. Pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road is one of the significant variable for the occurrence of road traffic accidents in Bahir Dar city. Therefore, the traffic polices or concerned body should give trainings for pedestrians about traffic accidents. To minimize the road traffic accidents, the government should set the rules to use the seat belt so that the drivers should apply it.

Published in	Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Volume 2, Issue 5)
DOI	10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
Page(s)	91-96
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2014. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Traffic Accidents, Binary Logistic Regression, Odds Ratio

References

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[2]	Atnaf SegedKifle, 2000. Road Safety Management Crisis in Ethiopia. Unpublished
[3]	Mekete Belachew. 2004."Some Thoughts on Intra- Urban Transport Problems in
[4]	Rallis T. 2009. Intercity Transport Engineering and Planning:Mac Milan Press Ltd.Report.
[5]	World Health Organization (WHO), 2011. The world’s most dangerous roads,http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/poverty matters/2011/may/11/most-dangerous-roads retrieved on April 9, 2014
[6]	Persson A. 2008. Road traffic accidents in Ethiopia:magnitude, causes and possible interventions, Advances in Transportation Studies, an international Journal SectionA 15: 1-16.
[7]	Bitew Mebrahtu.2002. Taxi traffic accidents in Addis Ababa:causes, temporal and spatial variations, and consequences, M.Sc. Thesis, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia, 181pp.
[8]	Ethiopian Mapping Agency.2008. National Atlas of Ethiopia, Addis Ababa: EMA.
[9]	Philip B. 2009. Bahir Dar, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bahir_Dar, found on 23, March 2014.
[10]	John D. Sutter, 2013. The new pandemic: road deaths, Ltd. Hong Kong.
[11]	Anonymous, 2002. Amhara National Regional State, Institute of Planning,
[12]	Cochran W.G., (1977). Applied Logistic Regression, 3rd ed.John Wiley and Sons Inc., New York.
[13]	Agresti A. (1996). An introduction to categorical data analysis. John Wiley and Sons, Inc., Newyork.
[14]	McCullagh, P. and J. A. Nelder. 1989. Generalized Linear Models. Second ed. London: Chapman and Hall.

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APA Style

Haile Mekonnen Fenta, Demeke Lakew Workie. (2014). Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 2(5), 91-96. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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Haile Mekonnen Fenta; Demeke Lakew Workie. Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia. Sci. J. Appl. Math. Stat. 2014, 2(5), 91-96. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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AMA Style

Haile Mekonnen Fenta, Demeke Lakew Workie. Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia. Sci J Appl Math Stat. 2014;2(5):91-96. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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@article{10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11,
  author = {Haile Mekonnen Fenta and Demeke Lakew Workie},
  title = {Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia},
  journal = {Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics},
  volume = {2},
  number = {5},
  pages = {91-96},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjams.20140205.11},
  abstract = {Traffic accident is increased from time to time in alarming rate and it is a serious problem throughout the globe, particularly, in developing countries like Ethiopia. In this study our aim was to identify the major factors that affect the occurrence of traffic accidents at Bahir Dar city, North Western Ethiopia. The drivers were selected using simple random sampling methods and descriptive statistics, Chi-square and Binary logistic regression methods have been used for data analysis.The Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed that the model fits the data very well. And from the result we have seen that drivers giving priority stated by the law, pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road, drivers usage of seat belt have statistically significant impact for the occurrence of traffic accidents in the city. Pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road is one of the significant variable for the occurrence of road traffic accidents in Bahir Dar city. Therefore, the traffic polices or concerned body should give trainings for pedestrians about traffic accidents. To minimize the road traffic accidents, the government should set the rules to use the seat belt so that the drivers should apply it.},
 year = {2014}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia
AU  - Haile Mekonnen Fenta
AU  - Demeke Lakew Workie
Y1  - 2014/09/30
PY  - 2014
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
DO  - 10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
T2  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JF  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JO  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
SP  - 91
EP  - 96
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2376-9513
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
AB  - Traffic accident is increased from time to time in alarming rate and it is a serious problem throughout the globe, particularly, in developing countries like Ethiopia. In this study our aim was to identify the major factors that affect the occurrence of traffic accidents at Bahir Dar city, North Western Ethiopia. The drivers were selected using simple random sampling methods and descriptive statistics, Chi-square and Binary logistic regression methods have been used for data analysis.The Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed that the model fits the data very well. And from the result we have seen that drivers giving priority stated by the law, pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road, drivers usage of seat belt have statistically significant impact for the occurrence of traffic accidents in the city. Pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road is one of the significant variable for the occurrence of road traffic accidents in Bahir Dar city. Therefore, the traffic polices or concerned body should give trainings for pedestrians about traffic accidents. To minimize the road traffic accidents, the government should set the rules to use the seat belt so that the drivers should apply it.
VL  - 2
IS  - 5
ER  -

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Author Information

Haile Mekonnen Fenta

Statistics Department, Science College, Bahir Dar University, Ethiopia
Demeke Lakew Workie

Statistics Department, Science College, Bahir Dar University, Ethiopia

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APA Style

Haile Mekonnen Fenta, Demeke Lakew Workie. (2014). Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 2(5), 91-96. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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ACS Style

Haile Mekonnen Fenta; Demeke Lakew Workie. Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia. Sci. J. Appl. Math. Stat. 2014, 2(5), 91-96. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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AMA Style

Haile Mekonnen Fenta, Demeke Lakew Workie. Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia. Sci J Appl Math Stat. 2014;2(5):91-96. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11

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@article{10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11,
  author = {Haile Mekonnen Fenta and Demeke Lakew Workie},
  title = {Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia},
  journal = {Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics},
  volume = {2},
  number = {5},
  pages = {91-96},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjams.20140205.11},
  abstract = {Traffic accident is increased from time to time in alarming rate and it is a serious problem throughout the globe, particularly, in developing countries like Ethiopia. In this study our aim was to identify the major factors that affect the occurrence of traffic accidents at Bahir Dar city, North Western Ethiopia. The drivers were selected using simple random sampling methods and descriptive statistics, Chi-square and Binary logistic regression methods have been used for data analysis.The Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed that the model fits the data very well. And from the result we have seen that drivers giving priority stated by the law, pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road, drivers usage of seat belt have statistically significant impact for the occurrence of traffic accidents in the city. Pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road is one of the significant variable for the occurrence of road traffic accidents in Bahir Dar city. Therefore, the traffic polices or concerned body should give trainings for pedestrians about traffic accidents. To minimize the road traffic accidents, the government should set the rules to use the seat belt so that the drivers should apply it.},
 year = {2014}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Factors that Affect Road Traffic Accidents in Bahir Dar City, North Western Ethiopia
AU  - Haile Mekonnen Fenta
AU  - Demeke Lakew Workie
Y1  - 2014/09/30
PY  - 2014
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
DO  - 10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
T2  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JF  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JO  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
SP  - 91
EP  - 96
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2376-9513
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20140205.11
AB  - Traffic accident is increased from time to time in alarming rate and it is a serious problem throughout the globe, particularly, in developing countries like Ethiopia. In this study our aim was to identify the major factors that affect the occurrence of traffic accidents at Bahir Dar city, North Western Ethiopia. The drivers were selected using simple random sampling methods and descriptive statistics, Chi-square and Binary logistic regression methods have been used for data analysis.The Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed that the model fits the data very well. And from the result we have seen that drivers giving priority stated by the law, pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road, drivers usage of seat belt have statistically significant impact for the occurrence of traffic accidents in the city. Pedestrian’s manner while crossing the road is one of the significant variable for the occurrence of road traffic accidents in Bahir Dar city. Therefore, the traffic polices or concerned body should give trainings for pedestrians about traffic accidents. To minimize the road traffic accidents, the government should set the rules to use the seat belt so that the drivers should apply it.
VL  - 2
IS  - 5
ER  -

Copy | Download