Research Article | | Peer-Reviewed

Advanced Modeling and Optimization of Weldment Responses Using Statistical and Metaheuristic Techniques

Received: 29 January 2025     Accepted: 14 February 2025     Published: 26 February 2025
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Abstract

Welding process optimization plays a crucial role in enhancing the material properties of weldments and ensuring high-quality outcomes in industrial applications. This study focuses on developing a robust framework for optimizing welding parameters to improve weldment properties, specifically carbon content. Understanding the effects of welding parameters — current, voltage, and gas flow rate — on carbon content is essential for reducing defects, improving weld quality, and achieving cost efficiency. The experiment was conducted at the Petroleum Training Institute (PTI), Warri, utilizing a Central Composite Design (CCD) to systematically analyze the interactions and effects of the welding parameters. A total of 20 experimental runs, including factorial points, axial points, and central replicates, were performed to ensure comprehensive evaluation and error estimation. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) was employed to develop predictive models, while Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was applied to refine the optimization process, leveraging its ability to identify global optima in complex solution spaces. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of combining RSM and PSO for advanced welding process optimization. RSM achieved a minimized predicted carbon content of 0.080 mole, with an experimental validation of 0.0518 mole. PSO further enhanced the optimization, predicting a carbon content of 0.0237 mole and achieving an experimental value of 0.0309 mole, demonstrating superior performance in minimizing carbon content. These findings underscore the potential of integrating statistical modeling with metaheuristic techniques to achieve precise control over welding parameters and deliver actionable insights for industrial applications.

Published in American Journal of Mechanical and Materials Engineering (Volume 9, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13
Page(s) 25-36
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2025. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

ANOVA, RSM, PSO, CCD, Desirability, Carbon Content

1. Introduction
Welding is a fundamental process in manufacturing industries, serving as the backbone for constructing durable and functional joints in a wide variety of materials and structures. Its applications range from small-scale fabrications to large industrial infrastructures, highlighting its indispensability across sectors such as automotive, aerospace, construction, and oil and gas. However, despite its extensive use, achieving consistent and high-quality welds remains a significant challenge. This is primarily due to the complex interplay of multiple process parameters, such as current, voltage, gas flow rate, and their influence on the physical and mechanical properties of weldments and . Traditional approaches to welding often rely on manual adjustments and operator expertise, leading to variability in outcomes, inefficiencies, and increased production costs and . These limitations emphasize the urgent need for systematic, science-based methods to optimize welding processes.
In recent years, advancements in computational and statistical methodologies have transformed the way welding processes are studied and optimized. Among these approaches, Response Surface Methodology (RSM) has emerged as a robust statistical tool for developing predictive models that elucidate the relationships between process parameters and weldment properties and . RSM enables researchers to systematically analyze parameter interactions, including linear, quadratic, and interaction effects, to better understand their combined influence on weld quality. For example, parameters like current, voltage, and gas flow rate can significantly impact critical properties such as carbon content, hardness, and structural integrity and . By providing a structured approach to modeling and experimentation, RSM supports data-driven decision-making, reduces the need for extensive trial-and-error testing, and enhances the reliability of predictions and .
While RSM provides a strong foundation for process modeling, it is often complemented by optimization techniques to identify the best parameter settings. Metaheuristic algorithms like Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) have gained attention for their ability to efficiently navigate complex and multifactorial solution spaces and . Inspired by the collective intelligence of natural swarms, PSO is particularly well-suited for welding process optimization, where the search for global optima involves balancing multiple objectives and constraints and . By integrating the predictive modeling capabilities of RSM with the optimization power of PSO, this study aims to establish a comprehensive framework for welding process optimization. The synergistic use of these methods allows for precise control over welding parameters, minimizes defects, and enhances the overall quality and efficiency of welds and .
This research not only seeks to advance theoretical understanding but also strives to provide practical guidelines for industrial applications and . By addressing the challenges associated with parameter variability and process inefficiencies, the findings contribute to bridging the gap between research and practice and . Ultimately, this study aims to facilitate the adoption of more scientifically grounded and efficient welding practices, enabling manufacturers to achieve superior results while reducing operational costs and material waste and . The integration of advanced computational models and optimization algorithms highlights the evolving nature of welding research and its alignment with modern manufacturing demands and .
Furthermore, this study builds upon previous investigations into welding processes, leveraging insights from diverse applications such as aerospace, automotive, and heavy engineering industries and . The inclusion of modern methodologies, such as Six Sigma and finite element modeling, has also contributed to the enhancement of weld quality and reliability and . By drawing on these advancements, the present research provides a comprehensive framework for tackling welding challenges across varied contexts and .
The practical implications of this research are significant. For instance, in high-demand sectors like shipbuilding and energy, where weld quality is critical, the use of advanced techniques can lead to substantial improvements in productivity and safety and . Moreover, the growing adoption of hybrid welding technologies has further expanded the scope of process optimization, allowing for the integration of laser and arc welding methods and . These developments underline the importance of continuous innovation and knowledge-sharing in the field of welding science and .
In conclusion, by leveraging advancements in statistical modeling and optimization, this study provides a roadmap for enhancing welding practices, improving weld quality, and reducing production costs. The insights gained are expected to benefit both researchers and practitioners, contributing to the broader goal of achieving excellence in welding technology .
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Experimental Design
The experiment was conducted at the Petroleum Training Institute (PTI), Warri. Central Composite Design (CCD) was utilized to systematically study the influence of three key welding parameters: Current (A) 159.77 to 210.23, Voltage (V) 18.98 to 24.02, and Gas Flow Rate (L/min) 10.98 to 16.02. CCD is a robust experimental design methodology that allows for the evaluation of linear, quadratic, and interaction effects of factors on a given response. The experimental matrix consisted of 20 runs, including factorial points, axial points, and central replicates to estimate pure error. The response variable investigated in this study was the carbon content of weldments, measured in moles. Table 1 provides the experimental conditions and observed results.
Table 1. Experimental results.

Run

A: Current (A)

B: Voltage (V)

C: Gas Flow Rate (L/min)

Response: Carbon Content (mole)

1

170

20

12

0.1802

2

185

21.5

13.5

0.161

3

200

23

15

0.121

4

159.773

21.5

13.5

0.122

5

170

20

15

0.181

6

170

23

12

0.156

7

185

21.5

10.9773

0.102

8

185

21.5

13.5

0.165

9

185

24.0227

13.5

0.199

10

210.227

21.5

13.5

0.17

11

185

21.5

13.5

0.163

12

200

23

12

0.176

13

185

21.5

16.0227

0.087

14

185

21.5

13.5

0.216

15

200

20

15

0.196

16

200

20

12

0.179

17

185

21.5

13.5

0.163

18

185

21.5

13.5

0.161

19

170

23

15

0.113

20

185

18.9773

13.5

0.252

2.2. Statistical Modeling
The experimental data were analyzed using Response Surface Methodology (RSM) to develop predictive models for carbon content. A second-order polynomial regression model was adopted due to its flexibility in capturing curvature and interactions among factors. The general form of the model is expressed as:
yi=fxi,β+ei(1)
where yi represents the response (carbon content), xi are the independent variables (welding parameters), coefficients (β) are determined through regression analysis, and represents random error (ei).
The adequacy of the model was assessed using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), which evaluated the significance of individual terms and the overall model fit. To ensure accuracy and reliability, diagnostics such as predicted vs. actual plots, contour plots, surface plots, and R-squared values were examined. These visual and statistical analyses provided insights into the model's performance and highlighted the interactions between parameters.
2.3. Optimization Using PSO
Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was employed to determine the optimal combination of welding parameters that maximize carbon content while minimizing weld defects. PSO is a bio-inspired optimization algorithm based on the collective behavior of swarms in nature. The algorithm initializes a population of particles, each representing a potential solution. These particles navigate the solution space by updating their positions based on individual and collective experiences, guided by objective function evaluations.
In this study, the objective function incorporated the predictive model derived from RSM, enabling PSO to efficiently explore the parameter space. Key algorithmic parameters, including swarm size, cognitive and social coefficients, and maximum iterations, were fine-tuned to balance exploration and exploitation.
2.4. Validation
The validity of the RSM model and PSO-optimized solutions was verified through experimental trials conducted under the predicted optimal conditions. The results of these trials were compared with the model predictions to assess the accuracy of the approach. Additionally, the robustness of the optimization strategy was tested by slightly varying the input parameters to observe the consistency of the outcomes.
2.5. Measurement of Carbon Content
Figure 1. Optical Emission Spectrometry.
The carbon content in the weldments was measured using Optical Emission Spectrometry (OES), a highly precise and rapid technique for analyzing metal compositions. The OES system vaporizes a small portion of the sample and analyzes the emitted light spectrum to determine elemental concentrations. This method was chosen for its accuracy, speed, and suitability for metallurgical applications.
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Statistical Modeling and ANOVA Analysis
The results of the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) in Table 2 for the quadratic model revealed that the model was statistically significant, with a p-value of 0.0009 and an F-value of 9.24. Among the individual factors, voltage (B) and gas flow rate (C) exhibited significant effects on carbon content, as indicated by their respective p-values of 0.0010 and 0.0450. These findings highlight the critical influence of voltage and gas flow rate in determining weldment properties.
The interaction effects between current and voltage (AB) and current and gas flow rate (AC) were not statistically significant, with p-values of 0.7843 and 0.9354, respectively. However, the interaction between voltage and gas flow rate (BC) showed a significant impact, with a p-value of 0.0448. This underscores the importance of considering parameter interactions when optimizing welding processes. The lack of fit was not significant (p = 0.8722), indicating that the model provided an adequate representation of the data.
Table 2. ANOVA for Quadratic model for Carbon.

Source

Sum of Squares

df

Mean Square

F-value

p-value

Model

0.0265

9

0.0029

9.24

0.0009

significant

A-Current

0.0007

1

0.0007

2.34

0.1573

B-Voltage

0.0067

1

0.0067

21.03

0.001

C-Gas Flow Rate

0.0017

1

0.0017

5.24

0.045

AB

0

1

0

0.0791

0.7843

AC

2.21E-06

1

2.21E-06

0.0069

0.9354

BC

0.0017

1

0.0017

5.26

0.0448

0.0008

1

0.0008

2.37

0.1548

0.0063

1

0.0063

19.69

0.0013

0.0093

1

0.0093

29.27

0.0003

Residual

0.0032

10

0.0003

Lack of Fit

0.0008

5

0.0002

0.3353

0.8722

not significant

Pure Error

0.0024

5

0.0005

Cor Total

0.0297

19

The fit statistics of Table 3, including an R-squared value of 0.8927 and an adjusted R-squared value of 0.7961, confirm the reliability and accuracy of the model. The adequate precision value of 13.9335 further supports the model's capability to navigate the design space effectively.
Table 3. Fit Statistics Carbon.

Std. Dev.

0.0179

0.8927

Mean

0.1632

Adjusted R²

0.7961

C.V. %

10.94

Predicted R²

0.6748

Adeq Precision

13.9335

3.2. Predictive Modeling and Visualization
The predictive model for carbon content is expressed in Equation (2), while Figure 2 depicts the predicted versus actual plot. The contour plot and surface plot for carbon content are presented in Figures 3 and 4, respectively.
The predicted versus actual plot in Figure 2 demonstrates a strong correlation, highlighting the model's effectiveness in accurately capturing trends within the experimental data. Additionally, the contour and surface plots provide valuable visual insights into the interactions between parameters and their influence on carbon content. These visualizations reveal optimal regions for parameter settings, aiding in the identification of conditions that minimize carbon content.
Carbon= 0.032273+0.010490A-0.339233B+0.434207C+0.000079AB+0.000023AC-0.006433BC-0.000032A²+0.009275B²-0.011309C²(2)
Figure 2. Predicted versus actual plot for carbon content.
Figure 3. Contour plot for Carbon Content.
Figure 4. Contour plot for Carbon Content.
3.3. Optimization Results
3.3.1. Response Surface Methodology (RSM)-based Optimization
The constraints for optimization are presented in Table 4. Using Response Surface Methodology (RSM)-based optimization, the optimal parameter settings were identified as Current = 159 A, Voltage = 22.907 V, and Gas Flow Rate = 15.072 L/min (as shown in Table 5). These conditions yielded a predicted carbon content of 0.080 mole. Experimental validation under these optimized conditions resulted in a carbon content of 0.0518 mole, demonstrating strong agreement with the predicted value and confirming the model's accuracy.
Table 4. Constraints for optimization using Design Expert 13.

Name

Goal

Lower Limit

Upper Limit

Lower Weight

Upper Weight

Importance

A:Current

is in range

159

210

1

1

3

B:Voltage

is in range

18

24

1

1

3

C:Gas Flow Rate

is in range

10

16

1

1

3

Carbon

minimize

0.087

0.252

1

1

3

Sulphur

minimize

0.019

0.033

1

1

3

Hydrogen

minimize

5.11

6.64

1

1

3

Cracking ratio

minimize

23.33

49.2

1

1

3

Hardness Number

maximize

125.79

137.11

1

1

3

Table 5. Optimization solutions using Response Surface Methodology (RSM).

Number

Current

Voltage

Gas Flow Rate

Carbon

Desirability

1

159

22.907

15.072

0.08

0.931

Selected

2

159

22.93

15.078

0.08

0.931

3

159

22.94

15.081

0.08

0.931

4

159

22.989

15.087

0.08

0.931

3.3.2. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)
The Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) process is visualized through the Performance Plot, Particle Trajectories, Evolution of the Best Solution Component, and Fitness Landscape Plot, shown in Figures 5, 6, 7, and 8, respectively. These plots illustrate the refined optimization process, which achieved a minimized carbon content of 0.0237 mole at the optimized parameter settings of Current = 159.77 A, Voltage = 23.1637 V, and Gas Flow Rate = 16.02 L/min.
Table 6. PSO Optimization solutions for Carbon.

s/n

Current

Voltage

Gas Flow Rate

Carbon

1

159.77

23.1637

16.02

0.023715

2

159.77

23.1637

16.02

0.023715

3

159.77

23.1637

16.02

0.023715

4

159.77

23.16367

16.02

0.023715

The PSO algorithm outperformed the RSM approach in minimizing carbon content, as demonstrated in Table 7. Experimental validation under these optimized conditions yielded a carbon content of 0.0309 mole, confirming the model's accuracy and the efficacy of the PSO algorithm.
Figure 5. PSO Performance Plot for Carbon Content.
Figure 6. Plot of PSO Particle Trajectories in 3d space for Carbon Content.
Figure 7. Plot of PSO Evolution of Best Solution Component for Carbon Content.
Figure 8. PSO Plot of Fitness Landscape for Carbon Content.
3.3.3. Comparative Analysis of RSM and PSO
Table 7 provides a comparative analysis of the experimental, RSM, and PSO results, highlighting the superior performance of the PSO algorithm in achieving lower carbon content values. The fitness landscape and particle trajectories, illustrated in Figures 5 through 8, further demonstrate PSO's efficacy in exploring the solution space and identifying global optima.
While RSM predicted a carbon content of 0.08 mole and achieved an experimental value of 0.0518 mole, the PSO algorithm achieved a lower experimental carbon content of 0.0309 mole, closely aligning with its predicted value of 0.0237 mole. This demonstrates PSO's ability to refine the optimization process and minimize errors effectively.
Table 7. Optimization Comparison between Experimental Value, RSM and PSO algorithm.

Actual

Predicted

Error

RSM

0.0518

0.08

-0.0282

PSO

0.0309

0.023715

0.007185

3.4. Practical Implications and Guidelines
The findings of this study provide actionable insights for optimizing welding processes in industrial applications. By integrating Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), practitioners can achieve precise control over welding parameters, minimize defects, and enhance weld quality. This combination offers a reliable approach for improving process efficiency and achieving superior results.
One key takeaway from the study is the importance of understanding parameter interactions and their collective effects on weldment properties. A comprehensive grasp of these relationships allows for more informed and strategic process adjustments, leading to better outcomes in terms of weld strength, durability, and overall quality.
The proposed optimization framework offers practical benefits to the industry. It enhances welding efficiency by minimizing trial-and-error experimentation, thereby saving time and resources. Additionally, it helps reduce operational costs by lowering material waste and optimizing energy consumption. Furthermore, the framework ensures consistent outcomes by improving repeatability and reliability in weld quality across diverse operational conditions.
These guidelines serve as a strategic foundation for welding process optimization, making them adaptable to various industrial scenarios. By applying these principles, manufacturers can achieve superior performance, cost-effectiveness, and sustainable practices in their operations.
4. Conclusion
This study highlights the potential of combining Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for advanced welding process optimization. The results demonstrate that while RSM achieved a minimized experimental carbon content of 0.0518 mole, PSO further refined the optimization process, achieving an experimental carbon content of 0.0309 mole, closely aligning with its predicted value of 0.0237 mole. These findings underscore the superior performance of PSO in navigating the solution space and identifying global optima.
By integrating robust statistical modeling with metaheuristic techniques, this research offers actionable insights and practical tools for enhancing weld quality. The study also emphasizes the importance of understanding parameter interactions and their effects on weldment properties, providing a foundation for achieving precise control over process variables, reducing defects, and improving efficiency.
Future work could explore extending this methodology to optimize other material properties, welding techniques, and process conditions. This approach has the potential to further advance industrial applications by offering more efficient, cost-effective, and sustainable solutions for complex welding challenges.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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    Otimeyin, A. W., Achebo, J. I., Frank, U. (2025). Advanced Modeling and Optimization of Weldment Responses Using Statistical and Metaheuristic Techniques. American Journal of Mechanical and Materials Engineering, 9(1), 25-36. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13

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    Otimeyin, A. W.; Achebo, J. I.; Frank, U. Advanced Modeling and Optimization of Weldment Responses Using Statistical and Metaheuristic Techniques. Am. J. Mech. Mater. Eng. 2025, 9(1), 25-36. doi: 10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13

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    Otimeyin AW, Achebo JI, Frank U. Advanced Modeling and Optimization of Weldment Responses Using Statistical and Metaheuristic Techniques. Am J Mech Mater Eng. 2025;9(1):25-36. doi: 10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13,
      author = {Aiyemo Williams Otimeyin and Joseph Ifeanyi Achebo and Uwoghiren Frank},
      title = {Advanced Modeling and Optimization of Weldment Responses Using Statistical and Metaheuristic Techniques},
      journal = {American Journal of Mechanical and Materials Engineering},
      volume = {9},
      number = {1},
      pages = {25-36},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajmme.20250901.13},
      abstract = {Welding process optimization plays a crucial role in enhancing the material properties of weldments and ensuring high-quality outcomes in industrial applications. This study focuses on developing a robust framework for optimizing welding parameters to improve weldment properties, specifically carbon content. Understanding the effects of welding parameters — current, voltage, and gas flow rate — on carbon content is essential for reducing defects, improving weld quality, and achieving cost efficiency. The experiment was conducted at the Petroleum Training Institute (PTI), Warri, utilizing a Central Composite Design (CCD) to systematically analyze the interactions and effects of the welding parameters. A total of 20 experimental runs, including factorial points, axial points, and central replicates, were performed to ensure comprehensive evaluation and error estimation. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) was employed to develop predictive models, while Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was applied to refine the optimization process, leveraging its ability to identify global optima in complex solution spaces. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of combining RSM and PSO for advanced welding process optimization. RSM achieved a minimized predicted carbon content of 0.080 mole, with an experimental validation of 0.0518 mole. PSO further enhanced the optimization, predicting a carbon content of 0.0237 mole and achieving an experimental value of 0.0309 mole, demonstrating superior performance in minimizing carbon content. These findings underscore the potential of integrating statistical modeling with metaheuristic techniques to achieve precise control over welding parameters and deliver actionable insights for industrial applications.},
     year = {2025}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Advanced Modeling and Optimization of Weldment Responses Using Statistical and Metaheuristic Techniques
    AU  - Aiyemo Williams Otimeyin
    AU  - Joseph Ifeanyi Achebo
    AU  - Uwoghiren Frank
    Y1  - 2025/02/26
    PY  - 2025
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13
    T2  - American Journal of Mechanical and Materials Engineering
    JF  - American Journal of Mechanical and Materials Engineering
    JO  - American Journal of Mechanical and Materials Engineering
    SP  - 25
    EP  - 36
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2639-9652
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajmme.20250901.13
    AB  - Welding process optimization plays a crucial role in enhancing the material properties of weldments and ensuring high-quality outcomes in industrial applications. This study focuses on developing a robust framework for optimizing welding parameters to improve weldment properties, specifically carbon content. Understanding the effects of welding parameters — current, voltage, and gas flow rate — on carbon content is essential for reducing defects, improving weld quality, and achieving cost efficiency. The experiment was conducted at the Petroleum Training Institute (PTI), Warri, utilizing a Central Composite Design (CCD) to systematically analyze the interactions and effects of the welding parameters. A total of 20 experimental runs, including factorial points, axial points, and central replicates, were performed to ensure comprehensive evaluation and error estimation. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) was employed to develop predictive models, while Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was applied to refine the optimization process, leveraging its ability to identify global optima in complex solution spaces. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of combining RSM and PSO for advanced welding process optimization. RSM achieved a minimized predicted carbon content of 0.080 mole, with an experimental validation of 0.0518 mole. PSO further enhanced the optimization, predicting a carbon content of 0.0237 mole and achieving an experimental value of 0.0309 mole, demonstrating superior performance in minimizing carbon content. These findings underscore the potential of integrating statistical modeling with metaheuristic techniques to achieve precise control over welding parameters and deliver actionable insights for industrial applications.
    VL  - 9
    IS  - 1
    ER  - 

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    1. 1. Introduction
    2. 2. Materials and Methods
    3. 3. Results and Discussion
    4. 4. Conclusion
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