American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics

Volume 13, Issue 4, August 2024

  • Research Article

    A Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Malaria Occurrence in Kenya

    Dennis Muriithi*, Victor Wandera Lumumba, Mark Okongo

    Issue: Volume 13, Issue 4, August 2024
    Pages: 65-72
    Received: 20 July 2024
    Accepted: 9 August 2024
    Published: 20 August 2024
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    Abstract: For many years’ malaria has been a health public concern in Kenya as well as many parts of Africa and other parts of the world. The purpose of this study is to develop and evaluate a supervised machine learning model to predict malaria occurrence (final malaria test results) in Kenya. The study investigated twelve predictor variables on the outcome... Show More
  • Research Article

    Application of Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Model on the Interaction of Inflation Rates and Public Debt in Kenya from 2011 to 2021

    John Maina, Robert Muriungi, Harun Gitonga*

    Issue: Volume 13, Issue 4, August 2024
    Pages: 73-79
    Received: 30 July 2024
    Accepted: 10 August 2024
    Published: 22 August 2024
    DOI: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20241304.12
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    Abstract: This study examines the relationship between public debt and inflation rates in Kenya from 2011 to 2021 using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. Despite the models likeAutoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH... Show More
  • Research Article

    A Generalized Linear Model of HIV/AIDS Patients in Kenya: A Case Study of Nyeri County Referral Hospital

    Sarah Ireri*, Joseph Esekon, Margaret Kinyua

    Issue: Volume 13, Issue 4, August 2024
    Pages: 80-84
    Received: 24 July 2024
    Accepted: 13 August 2024
    Published: 22 August 2024
    DOI: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20241304.13
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    Abstract: With millions of new cases and deaths reported every year, HIV/AIDS is a significant worldwide health concern. Creating successful public health policies and interventions requires an understanding of the dynamics of HIV transmission and progression. WHO predicted that by the end of 2022 roughly 39 million individuals worldwide would be living with... Show More
  • Research Article

    Modelling Petrol Prices in Kenya from 2014 to 2023 Using Sarimax Model: A Case Study of Nairobi County

    Fidelis Nyamai, Joseph Esekon, Edwine Atitwa*

    Issue: Volume 13, Issue 4, August 2024
    Pages: 85-91
    Received: 1 August 2024
    Accepted: 16 August 2024
    Published: 26 August 2024
    DOI: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20241304.14
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    Abstract: The requirement for petrol price information is crucial for majority of enterprises. This is because fluctuations in petrol prices impact inflation hence affecting daily lives of citizens. In analyzing the prices of petrol, researchers have employed several models but encountered various limitations. These limitations include; the Error Correction ... Show More